據(jù)油氣新聞網(wǎng)9月27日報道，受颶風(fēng)伊恩（Ian）到來前美國墨西哥灣的石油供應(yīng)限制和美元小幅走軟的支撐，油價從周一的9個月低點上漲逾1%。

分析師預(yù)計，歐佩克+可能采取行動，通過削減供應(yīng)來遏制油價下跌，這也為油價上漲提供了支持。歐佩克+將于10月5日開會制定政策。

截至格林尼治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時間8時10分，布倫特原油上漲1.11美元，至每桶85.17美元，漲幅1.3%。周一跌至83.65美元，為今年1月以來的最低水平。美國西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油（WTI）上漲1.08美元，至每桶77.79美元，漲幅1.4%。

2022年初原油價格飆升，3月份地緣政治沖突后，布倫特原油價格接近147美元的高點，加劇了供應(yīng)擔(dān)憂。此后，對經(jīng)濟衰退、高利率和美元走強的擔(dān)憂開始加劇。

石油經(jīng)紀(jì)人PVM的塔馬斯·瓦爾加（Tamas Varga）表示，石油目前受到金融力量的影響。與此同時，反彈行情被視為暫時現(xiàn)象，就像今天早上由颶風(fēng)伊恩在美國海灣造成的那樣。

美元稍早曾觸及20年高點，對使用其他貨幣的買家來說，美元走強會使原油價格更加昂貴，并且往往會給風(fēng)險資產(chǎn)帶來壓力。

周二，供應(yīng)削減再度成為關(guān)注焦點，為市場提供了一些支撐。英國石油和雪佛龍周一表示，由于颶風(fēng)伊恩逼近該地區(qū)，他們關(guān)閉了墨西哥灣海上平臺的生產(chǎn)。

油價下跌引發(fā)了有關(guān)歐佩克+可能進行干預(yù)的猜測。伊拉克石油部長周一說，該組織正在監(jiān)控油價，不希望油價大幅上漲或暴跌。

瑞士銀行瑞銀（UBS）的喬瓦尼?斯陶諾沃（Giovanni Staunovo）和韋恩?戈登（Wayne Gordon）表示，只有歐佩克+的減產(chǎn)，才能在短期內(nèi)打破這種負面勢頭。

周二的焦點還將是最新的美國庫存報告，分析師預(yù)計原油庫存將增加30萬桶。美國石油協(xié)會的報告于格林威治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時間20時30分發(fā)布。

郝芬 譯自 油氣新聞網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Oil rise from nine-month low on US gulf supply cuts

Oil rose more than 1 per cent from a nine-month low a day earlier, supported by supply curbs in the US Gulf of Mexico ahead of Hurricane Ian and a slight softening in the US dollar.

Analyst expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as Opec+, may take action to stem the drop in prices by cutting supply also lent support. Opec+ meets to set policy on October 5.

Brent crude rose $1.11, or 1.3 per cent, to $85.17 a barrel by 0810 GMT. On Monday it fell as low as $83.65, the lowest since January. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up $1.08, or 1.4 per cent, at $77.79.

Crude soared in early 2022, with Brent coming close to its all-time high of $147 in March after the war adding to supply concerns. Worries about recession, high interest rates and dollar strength have since weighed.

"Oil is currently under the influence of financial forces," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM. "In the meantime, relief rallies, like the one this morning caused by Hurricane Ian in the US Gulf, are viewed as temporary phenomena."

A lull in the strength of the US dollar, which earlier hit a 20-year high, provided some support. A strong dollar makes crude more expensive for buyer using other currencies and tends to weigh on risk assets.

Supply cuts were back in focus on Tuesday lending some support. BP and Chevron said on Monday they shut production at offshore platforms in the Gulf of Mexico as Hurricane Ian approached the region.

The price drop has raised speculation that Opec+ could intervene. Iraq's oil minister on Monday said the group was monitoring prices and didn't want a sharp increase or a collapse.

"only a production cut by Opec+ can break the negative momentum in the short run," said Giovanni Staunovo and Wayne Gordon of Swiss bank UBS.

In focus also on Tuesday will be the latest US inventory reports, which analysts expect will show a 300,000-barrel increase in crude stocks. The American Petroleum Institute's report is out at 2030 GMT.