據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2022年9月19日?qǐng)?bào)道，美國(guó)彭博新聞社周一援引了解阿聯(lián)酋新增產(chǎn)計(jì)劃的消息人士的話報(bào)道稱(chēng)，歐佩克主要成員國(guó)之一阿聯(lián)酋正在加快計(jì)劃，將其原油日產(chǎn)能提高到500萬(wàn)桶，比原計(jì)劃提前5年。

阿聯(lián)酋和沙特阿拉伯被認(rèn)為是世界上僅有的兩個(gè)目前還有一些備用原油產(chǎn)能的原油生產(chǎn)國(guó)之一。

阿布扎比國(guó)家石油公司（ADNOC）多年來(lái)一直計(jì)劃在2030年前將其原油日產(chǎn)能從目前的400萬(wàn)桶提高到500萬(wàn)桶。  

但現(xiàn)在，生產(chǎn)阿聯(lián)酋幾乎所有原油的ADNOC將這一目標(biāo)實(shí)現(xiàn)日期提前至2025年。ADNOC和阿聯(lián)酋此前曾考慮將這一目標(biāo)從2030年提前至2027年，但現(xiàn)在據(jù)報(bào)道，他們計(jì)劃到2025年前將原油日產(chǎn)能提高100萬(wàn)桶。  

由于全球原油消費(fèi)預(yù)計(jì)在本世紀(jì)30年代的某個(gè)時(shí)候?qū)②呌诜€(wěn)定，因此，ADNOC和阿聯(lián)酋可以利用全球原油需求持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)和高油價(jià)的優(yōu)勢(shì)增加原油產(chǎn)量。 

然而，據(jù)彭博社消息人士稱(chēng)，加速增加原油產(chǎn)能可能是一次非常昂貴的努力。

ADNOC在給彭博社的一份聲明中表示：“由于我們接受能源轉(zhuǎn)型和我們的業(yè)務(wù)具有前瞻性，我們將繼續(xù)探索可以進(jìn)一步釋放價(jià)值、釋放資本和提高回報(bào)的潛在機(jī)會(huì)?！钡獳DNOC沒(méi)有評(píng)論2030年500萬(wàn)桶的原油日產(chǎn)能目標(biāo)是否已經(jīng)改變。  

阿聯(lián)酋被認(rèn)為是目前全球少數(shù)幾個(gè)能夠利用備用產(chǎn)能提高原油產(chǎn)量的產(chǎn)油國(guó)之一。然而，由于全球備用產(chǎn)能處于極低水平，阿聯(lián)酋、沙特阿拉伯或歐佩克都不急于使用更多的備用產(chǎn)能，特別是考慮到短期內(nèi)全球原油需求的諸多不確定性。 

李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

The UAE Plans To Ramp Up Its Oil Production Capacity

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), one of OPEC’s key members, is accelerating plans to raise its oil production capacity to 5 million barrels per day (bpd) five years earlier than planned, Bloomberg reported on Monday, quoting sources with knowledge of the new plans.

The UAE is thought to be one of the only two oil producers in the world—together with Saudi Arabia—with some spare oil production capacity currently left.

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) has had for years planned to boost its oil production capacity from 4 million bpd currently to 5 million bpd by 2030.

But now ADNOC, which produces nearly all the crude in the UAE, is moving that target date forward to as soon as 2025. The company and the UAE had considered moving the target ahead to 2027 from 2030, but now they are reportedly planning to have the capacity raised by 1 million bpd by 2025.

ADNOC and the UAE could thus take advantage of still rising global oil demand and high oil prices before consumption is expected to plateau at some point in the 2030s, according to most estimates.

However, accelerating the increase in oil production capacity could be a very costly endeavor, according to Bloomberg’s sources. 

“As we embrace the energy transition and future-proof our business, we will continue to explore potential opportunities that can further unlock value, free up capital and enhance returns,” Adnoc said in a statement to Bloomberg, without commenting on whether the 2030 target for 5 million bpd production capacity had been changed.

The UAE is considered one of the very few oil producers currently capable of ramping up production using some spare capacity left. However, with global spare capacity at critically low levels, neither the UAE, Saudi Arabia, or OPEC, for that matter, are in a rush to use more of their spare capacity, especially in view of many uncertainties in global oil demand in the short term.