據(jù)美國(guó)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2022年9月1日?qǐng)?bào)道，美國(guó)彭博新聞社近日對(duì)19名行業(yè)觀察人士的調(diào)查中多數(shù)人表示，歐佩克+預(yù)計(jì)將在9月5日開(kāi)會(huì)評(píng)估石油市場(chǎng)狀況時(shí)，將其10月份原油產(chǎn)量目標(biāo)維持在9月份的水平上。

在接受調(diào)查的19名專家中，共有15名專家預(yù)計(jì)歐佩克+將在下周開(kāi)會(huì)時(shí)將10月份的原油產(chǎn)量目標(biāo)維持在9月份的水平上。

今年8月份，沙特阿拉伯提出了新的減產(chǎn)想法，這個(gè)歐佩克最大產(chǎn)油國(guó)能源大臣表示，歐佩克+準(zhǔn)備在任何時(shí)間以任何形式減產(chǎn)，只要它認(rèn)為這將為“精神分裂”的石油市場(chǎng)帶來(lái)穩(wěn)定。  

在沙特阿拉伯發(fā)出這個(gè)信號(hào)后，歐佩克今年輪值主席、剛果能源部長(zhǎng)Bruno Jean-Richard Itoua也表示支持可能的減產(chǎn)。一位熟悉阿聯(lián)酋想法的消息人士上周告訴路透社，阿聯(lián)酋對(duì)原油市場(chǎng)的看法與沙特阿拉伯類(lèi)似。

包括伊拉克、哈薩克斯坦在內(nèi)的一些歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國(guó)也表示支持新的產(chǎn)量限制。 

然而，行業(yè)觀察人士告訴彭博社的調(diào)查，歐佩克+更有可能保持10月份的配額不變，歐佩克+未來(lái)幾天和幾周需要關(guān)注的其他關(guān)鍵因素包括對(duì)第三和第四季度全球石油需求的估計(jì)，以及歐佩克+主要成員國(guó)的原油供應(yīng)。 

在8月初的會(huì)議上，歐佩克+決定將9月份的集體原油日產(chǎn)量目標(biāo)略微提高10萬(wàn)桶。 

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC+ Expected To Keep October Output Quota Flat

OPEC+ is expected to keep its October crude oil production target stable from the September quota when the group meets on September 5 to review oil market conditions, a majority of 19 industry observers polled by Bloomberg said.

A total of 15 of the 19 experts surveyed expect the producer group to keep the oil output target for October at the same level as in September when they meet next week. 

In August, Saudi Arabia floated the idea of new production cuts as the Energy Minister of OPEC’s top producer, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, said that OPEC+ was ready to cut production at any time in any form if it believes it would bring stability to the “schizophrenic” oil market.  

After the Saudi signal, OPEC’s rotating president for this year, Congo’s Hydrocarbons Minister Bruno Jean-Richard Itoua, also expressed support for potential cuts. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has similar views to Saudi Arabia on the crude oil markets, a source familiar with the UAE’s thinking told Reuters last week. 

Some other OPEC+ producers, including Iraq, and Kazakhstan, have also signaled support for new production restrictions.

However, OPEC+ is more likely to keep quotas flat for October until it sees how the negotiations on the so-called Iranian nuclear deal would continue, industry observers told the Bloomberg survey. 

Other key factors for OPEC+ to watch in the coming days and weeks include estimates of global oil demand in the third and fourth quarters, as well as the oil supply from a key OPEC+ member.

At the early August meeting, OPEC+ decided to slightly raise the collective target for September by just 100,000 bpd.