據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)8月8日?qǐng)?bào)道，Energy Aspects的Amrita Sen周一告訴彭博監(jiān)測(cè)，雖然短期內(nèi)石油和天然氣價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)走低，但到冬季到來時(shí)，市場(chǎng)將變得異常緊張，每桶石油的價(jià)格應(yīng)該會(huì)回到120美元左右。

據(jù)美國(guó)汽車協(xié)會(huì)稱，周一美國(guó)全國(guó)平均每加侖汽油價(jià)格繼續(xù)下跌，跌至4.059美元。 

與此同時(shí)，原油價(jià)格遠(yuǎn)低于每桶90美元。

Sen表示，由于即將進(jìn)行的季節(jié)性煉油廠維護(hù)，她預(yù)計(jì)價(jià)格不會(huì)“突然上漲”。然而，到冬天來臨時(shí)，特別是11月之后，她預(yù)計(jì)供應(yīng)將變得“非常非常緊張”。 

11月1日，美國(guó)戰(zhàn)略石油儲(chǔ)備 （SPR） 的釋放將停止。今年3月，美國(guó)政府下令每天從美國(guó)的緊急原油庫(kù)存中釋放100萬桶原油，以降低天然氣價(jià)格。根據(jù)美國(guó)能源部的數(shù)據(jù)，上周，SPR跌至近四十年來的最低水平。 

在停止SPR釋放之后，歐盟將于12月1日實(shí)施對(duì)產(chǎn)能大國(guó)原油的禁運(yùn)。 

“市場(chǎng)將很快收緊，”Sen告訴彭博社，“我們?nèi)跃S持我們對(duì)每桶120美元的預(yù)測(cè)。”

黎泱 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Analyst: Oil To Hit $120 Again By Winter

While oil and gas prices may continue to weaken in the near term, by the time winter sets in, the market is going to become extremely tight and the per-barrel price of oil should return to around $120, Energy Aspects’ Amrita Sen told Bloomberg Surveillance on Monday. 

The national average per gallon of gasoline in the United States continued to fall on Monday, dropping to $4.059, according to AAA. 

At the same time, crude oil prices are solidly below $90 per barrel. 

Sen said she is not expecting a “sudden increase” in prices due to upcoming seasonal refinery maintenance; however, by the time winter hits, and particularly after November, she expects supply to become “very, very tight”. 

On November 1st, releases from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will halt. In March this year, the Administration ordered the release of 1 million barrels per day from the country’s emergency crude stockpile in a bid to lower gas prices. Last week, the SPR fell to its lowest level in nearly four decades, according to the U.S. Department of Energy data. 

The stoppage of the SPR releases will then be followed by the implementation on December 1st of the European Union’s embargo on the larger producer crude. 

“The market is going to tighten up very, very quickly,” Sen told Bloomberg. “We still maintain our forecast of $120 per barrel,” she added.