歐佩克新任秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)海賽姆·蓋斯：最近的石油拋售是由恐懼推動(dòng)的   

歐佩克：原油基本面依然強(qiáng)勁   

 據(jù)美國(guó)油價(jià)網(wǎng)8月18日?qǐng)?bào)道，歐佩克新任秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)海賽姆·蓋斯對(duì)路透社記者表示，全球石油需求仍然強(qiáng)勁，并將持續(xù)到今年年底。他指出，最近的石油拋售并沒(méi)有反映出基本面，而是出于擔(dān)憂。 

蓋斯在8月18日刊發(fā)的一次采訪中對(duì)路透社記者表示：“我們?nèi)匀环浅？春萌蚴托枨?，?duì)今年余下時(shí)間的全球石油需求也非常樂(lè)觀?！?/p>

8月早些時(shí)候，油價(jià)跌至6個(gè)月來(lái)的最低水平，跌至地緣政治沖突爆發(fā)之前的水平。市場(chǎng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退的擔(dān)憂和對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)健康狀況的擔(dān)憂推動(dòng)了油價(jià)下跌，而在油價(jià)波動(dòng)加劇之際，交易員和投機(jī)者要么休假，要么不交易石油，導(dǎo)致成交量清淡，進(jìn)一步加劇油價(jià)下跌。

不過(guò)，蓋斯表示，全球石油需求仍然強(qiáng)勁。蓋斯對(duì)路透社記者表示：“有很多猜測(cè)和焦慮，這是導(dǎo)致油價(jià)下跌的主要原因?！?/p>

“而在實(shí)物市場(chǎng)，我們的看法則大不相同。 歐佩克認(rèn)為全球石油需求仍然強(qiáng)勁?！鄙w斯補(bǔ)充說(shuō)。 

歐佩克上周確實(shí)把今年全球石油日需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)估下調(diào)26萬(wàn)桶，但在其備受關(guān)注的月度石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告（MOMR）中表示，歐佩克仍預(yù)計(jì)需求將“健康增長(zhǎng)”。 

歐佩克預(yù)計(jì)今年全球石油日需求將增加310萬(wàn)桶，比7月預(yù)估的日增長(zhǎng)336萬(wàn)桶減少26萬(wàn)桶。

歐佩克表示，全球預(yù)計(jì)石油日需求仍將“健康增長(zhǎng)310萬(wàn)桶，包括最近觀察到的發(fā)電燃燒更多原油的趨勢(shì)”。今年，全球石油總需求預(yù)計(jì)將日均1億桶。

歐佩克將2023年全球石油日需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)估維持在270萬(wàn)桶不變，預(yù)計(jì)2023年全球石油日總需求將達(dá)到1.0272億桶。  

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC Sees Robust Oil Demand Despite Sell-Off

·     OPEC Secretary General al-Ghais: recent sell-off in oil was driven by fear.

·     OPEC: crude oil fundamentals remain strong.

Global oil demand is still robust and will be such through the end of this year, OPEC Secretary General Haitham al-Ghais told Reuters, noting that the recent sell-off in oil doesn't reflect fundamentals and is driven by fear.

"We still feel very bullish on demand and very optimistic on demand for the rest of this year," al-Ghais told Reuters in an interview published on Thursday.  

Oil prices dropped earlier this month to their lowest level in six months, to the level just before the war. The move lower was driven by fears of recession and concerns about the health of the economy and was further exacerbated by thin trading volumes as traders and speculators are either on vacation or not trading oil amid heightened volatility. 

OPEC, however, sees robust demand, according to its new secretary general.

"There is a lot of speculation and anxiety, and that's what's predominantly driving the drop in prices," al-Ghais told Reuters.

"Whereas in the physical market we see things much differently. Demand is still robust," OPEC's chief added. 

OPEC did revise down last week its global oil demand growth estimate for this year by 260,000 barrels per day (bpd) but said in its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) it still expects "healthy growth".

OPEC sees world oil demand growing by 3.1 million bpd this year, down by 260,000 bpd from last month's growth assessment of 3.36 million bpd growth.

Demand is still expected to show "healthy growth of 3.1 mb/d, including the recently observed trend of burning more crude in power generation," OPEC said. This year, total oil demand is expected to average around 100 million bpd.

OPEC left its 2023 demand growth estimate unchanged from the previous report at 2.7 million bpd, with total 2023 oil demand expected to reach 102.72 million bpd.