據(jù)美國油價網(wǎng)2022年6月21日報道，伊拉克副總理Ali Allawi表示，伊拉克可能在未來五年內(nèi)把本國石油日產(chǎn)能提高到600萬桶，但不會超過這個水平，因為伊拉克石油行業(yè)的擴張受到了限制。

伊拉克是歐佩克第二大產(chǎn)油國，但它一直在努力提高產(chǎn)量，以符合歐佩克去年簽署的增產(chǎn)協(xié)議，增產(chǎn)協(xié)議是在疫情后需求開始復蘇以后簽署的。

根據(jù)歐佩克最新的月度石油市場報告，伊拉克5月份原油日產(chǎn)量約為440萬桶，低于4月的442.6萬桶。5月份的原油平均產(chǎn)量也低于伊拉克去年第四季度的產(chǎn)量。在疫情導致需求銳減并促使歐佩克及其合作伙伴大幅減產(chǎn)之前，伊拉克的原油日產(chǎn)量約為450萬桶。 

盡管伊拉克面臨不少政治問題，石油投資前景堪憂，但伊拉克仍雄心勃勃，希望到2027年前，伊拉克原油日產(chǎn)量能達到800萬桶。 

伊拉克副總理Ali Allawi表示：“我不認為我們在五年內(nèi)將原油日產(chǎn)能擴大100萬桶以上?！备鶕?jù)他的說法，600萬桶原油日產(chǎn)能是一個更現(xiàn)實的產(chǎn)能擴張目標。 

與此同時，大型石油公司正在撤離伊拉克，這是伊拉克石油行業(yè)增長前景不確定的原因之一。本周早些時候，有消息稱，伊拉克國有的巴士拉石油公司將收購?？松梨诠驹谖鞴艩柤{-1油田的股份。美國這家石油巨頭時下正在尋求退出伊拉克。 

與此同時，在全球需求不斷增長的情況下，伊拉克也在擴大液化天然氣業(yè)務。就在本周，伊拉克宣布從烏姆蓋斯爾港裝運第一批出口液化天然氣。伊拉克還計劃出口半冷卻壓縮液化天然氣。

李峻 編譯自 美國油價網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Iraq Could Raise Oil Production Capacity To 6 Million Bpd

Iraq could raise its oil production capacity to 6 million bpd over the next five years but no more than that because of constraints weighing on the industry’s expansion, the Deputy Prime Minister of the country, Ali Allawi, said, as quoted by Energy Intelligence, this week.

Iraq is OPEC’s second-largest producer, but it has been struggling to boost production in line with the OPEC+ production expansion agreement that the extended cartel inked last year after demand began to recover after the pandemic.

Per OPEC’s latest Monthly Oil Market Report, Iraq produced some 4.4 million bpd in May, down from 4.426 million bpd in April. The May average production rate was also lower than Iraq’s production rate for the last quarter of 2021. Before the pandemic decimated demand and prompted OPEC and its partners to cut production severely, Iraq was pumping some 4.5 million bpd.

Despite political troubles and doubts about the future of investments in Iraq’s oil, the country’s Oil Minister, Ihsan Abdul Jabbar Ismail, has the ambition to see production capacity at as much as 8 million barrels daily by 2027.

“I don’t think we’ll be expanding our capacity beyond … another 1 million b/d within five years,” his deputy, Allawi, said. According to him, 6 million bpd was a more realistic target for production capacity expansion.

Meanwhile, Big Oil is leaving Iraq, which is one of the reasons for the uncertainty of its oil industry growth’s future. Earlier this week, the news broke that state-owned Basrah Oil Company will buy Exxon’s stake in the West Qurna 1 oil field as the supermajor seeks to exit Iraq.

Meanwhile, Iraq is also expanding into LNG amid growing global demand. Just this week, the country announced the first shipment of liquefied gas from the port of Umm Qasr. Plans are to also export compressed and semi-cooled liquefied gas.