據(jù)Renewables Now網(wǎng)站3月28日報(bào)道，根據(jù)德國氫和燃料電池協(xié)會（DWV）進(jìn)行的一項(xiàng)市場調(diào)查顯示，德國的綠色氫發(fā)電能力有可能在本世紀(jì)20年代末增長到27.8吉瓦，遠(yuǎn)高于聯(lián)邦政府10吉瓦的目標(biāo)。

該研究的參與者(包括DWV的成員公司)估計(jì)，2030年，這個(gè)歐洲最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體將生產(chǎn)72.33太瓦時(shí)的綠色氫，創(chuàng)造131.6億歐元(約合144.7億美元)的收入。

到本世紀(jì)二十年代中期，該國的產(chǎn)能可能達(dá)到16.25吉瓦，而清潔燃料的產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將達(dá)到42.33太瓦時(shí)，收入達(dá)到94.4億歐元。

據(jù)弗朗霍夫太陽能系統(tǒng)研究所(Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE)估計(jì)，到二十年代中期，堿性電解(AEL)的平均成本估計(jì)為每千瓦時(shí)553.5歐元，2030年為每千瓦時(shí)444歐元。

2025年通過質(zhì)子交換膜(PEM)技術(shù)進(jìn)行電解的成本預(yù)計(jì)為每千瓦610歐元，5年后降至502歐元。

DWV指出，在天然氣價(jià)格急劇上漲的背景下，綠色氫氣的價(jià)格正變得更具競爭力。該協(xié)會進(jìn)一步表示，調(diào)查結(jié)果表明，德國聯(lián)邦政府計(jì)劃到2030年建立綠色氫市場經(jīng)濟(jì)。

參與調(diào)查的公司包括西門子能源股份有限公司、Elogen股份有限公司（Elogen GmbH）、ITM 電力股份有限公司/林德股份有限公司、曼恩能源解決方案有限公司、麥菲能源德國有限公司（McPhy Energy Deutschland GmbH）、Sunfire股份有限公司（Sunfire GmbH）和蒂森克虜伯紐塞拉（ThyssenKrupp Nucera）。

(1歐元= 1.100美元)

郝芬 譯自 Renewables Now

原文如下：

Germany could raise green hydrogen capacity to 28 GW by 2030

The capacity for green hydrogen generation in Germany has the potential to grow to 27.8 GW at the end of the decade which is far above the federal government's target of 10 GW, according to a market survey conducted by the German Hydrogen and Fuel-Cell Association (DWV).

The participants in the study, which include DWV's member companies, estimate that Europe's largest economy could produce up to 72.33 TWh of green hydrogen in 2030, generating EUR 13.16 billion in revenue (USD 14.47bn).

By the middle of the decade, the country's capacity could reach 16.25 GW while production of the clean fuel is seen at up to 42.33 TWh with revenues reaching EUR 9.44 billion.

The average costs for alkaline electrolysis (AEL) are estimated at EUR 553.5 per kWac in the middle of the decade and at EUR 444 per kWac in 2030, according to the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE. Electrolysis through the proton exchange membrane (PEM) technology is expected to cost EUR 610 per kWac in 2025 and fall to EUR 502 per kWac five years later.

DWV noted that the price of green hydrogen is becoming more competitive against the background of the sharp increase in natural gas prices. The results of the survey fuel hopes that a green hydrogen market economy can be developed by 2030 as the federal government plans, the association said further.

The companies that took part in the survey include Siemens Energy AG, Elogen GmbH, ITM Power GmbH/Linde AG, MAN Energy Solutions SE, McPhy Energy Deutschland GmbH, Sunfire GmbH and ThyssenKrupp Nucera.

(EUR 1 = USD 1.100)